Sunday, August 30, 2009

Three blind bluffs

Thoughts, please.


Stacks:
exm0nstr with $42.85
BTN with $55.85
SB with $72.65
BB with $45.55
UTG with $10.00
UTG+1 with $60.00
MP1 with $70.50
MP2 with $50.35
MP3 with $7.10

Site: Full Tilt Poker
Dealt to BTN:T♠ K♠

Preflop:
1 players fold.
MP1 raises to $2
MP2 calls [$2]
2 players fold.
Hero calls [$2]
2 players folded.
Total folds this street: 5
Potsize: $6.75

Two calls. On button. Hand that can be totally dominated. Sure, I'll call.


Flop: 7♣ 5♦ 6♦
MP1 checks
MP2 checks

Two checks. In position. Sure, I'll take a shot at the pot.

Hero bets [$4]

MP1 calls [$4]
MP2 calls [$4]
Potsize: $18.75

Turn: Q♥
MP1 checks
MP2 checks

Two checks. In position. I can't fire again. Can I? Pot's pretty big. I'll take another shot.

Hero bets [$10]
MP1 calls [$10]
MP2 calls [$10]
Potsize: $48.75

River: 2♣
MP1 checks
MP2 checks

If one of these guys had a monster, they would have bet here, right? Two checks. I'll fire again. What other choice do I have?

Hero bets [$11]
2 players fold.
Uncalled bet of $11 returned to Hero Hero wins the pot ($46.35)

Uh. OK.

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Interesting hand from 10-25 cash game

I have been playing a little bit of cash online and thought this was an interesting hand.

I question whether I should call three big bets in this case since the SB could easily have a 7. But after the fact, it is clear he played it even worse than I did. I mean, I could have easily had a 7 in the BB, and he probably should have slowed down a bit after firing the first two bets.

Tell me what you think.

Stacks:
UTG with $29.26
UTG+1 with $26.63
MP1 with $23.70
MP2 with $24.50
MP3 with $99.73
CO with $39.22
BTN with $25.00
SB with $41.55
BB with $50.01

Site: Full Tilt Poker
Dealt to BB:A♠ T♣

Preflop:
5 players fold.
CO raises to $0.75
BTN calls [$0.75]
SB calls [$0.65]
Hero calls [$0.50]
Total folds this street: 5
Potsize: $3

I hate my hand here. ATo is easily crushed. But I can't see any other way to play this properly than to call.

Flop:
A♦ 7♠ 7♥
SB bets [$3]
Hero calls [$3]
2 players folded.
Total folds this street: 2
Potsize: $9

A pot-sized bet into this flop does not smell like a 7 at all, so I call, planning to fold if the SB shows a lot of strength on the turn.

Turn:
10♦
SB bets [$9]
2 players fold.
Hero calls [$9]
Potsize: $27

This is either the worst card or the best card in the deck for me. If he's playing AQ or AJ, it's great. If he's playing 87, the T just got me deeper into a hand I pondered dumping.

River:
5♣
SB bets [$27]
Hero calls [$27]

This $27 bet only makes sense if he played a hand like 87 preflop. But it just doesn't add up. Still thinking that a guy who flopped trips would not have fired on the flop, I call this and pray.

Results:
SB shows :
A♣ K♦
Hero shows :
A♠ 10♣ Hero wins the pot ($78) with two pair, Aces and Tens

KJs is brutal

Is two months too long to find out what hand costs me more money than any other? Mentioned it in June and then never revisited the issue.

The worst hand: KJ suited. And it's not even close.

According to Poker Copilot, KJ suited costs me twice as much per time it's dealt to me than the second-worst hand, which is ... I have no idea. I'm having some computer issues, and Poker Copilot might be one of the issues. I'll look into it and try to report back at some point.

Still, a quick view at the stats has helped me plug a leak. I look at KJs a lot differently than I used to. It goes in the muck a lot more than it used to, even though I don't remember playing it very often in the past. I just think that, when I did play it and did hit it, it ended up costing me a lot of money.

It doesn't mean I've tightened up even more. It just means I've replaced hands like KJs with more suited connectors, suited one-gappers, etc. It's probably way past time for me to open it up a bit anyway.

Wednesday, July 29, 2009

Some good results

The poker gods are screwing with me again.

Just when I was ready to log off for an extended period, a few good things happened:

— I cashed for $100 in $10 tournaments twice in three days.

— Sharkscope upgraded me to "shark" status for the first time.

— Full Tilt sent me $100. (Apparently a player I referred went on a poker binge and earned me $100.)

I crossed the $1,600 mark for the first time. (Thanks in part, of course, to the extra $100.)

Tuesday, June 30, 2009

Cool features on Poker Copilot

When I finally got the full-fledged version of Poker Copilot, I thought it would start tracking my results from that point. Little did I know, it would analyze every hand I've ever played since the hand histories are still tucked neatly somewhere on my hard drive. Cool.

One cool feature is that you can sort your starting hands in order from best to worst results. It ranks every possible hand based on average number of big blinds won when you are dealt that starting hand. My top 10 best hands make sense for the most part:

1. AA
2. AKs
3. KK
4. QQ
5. AKo
6. JJ
7. TT
8. ATs
9. 55
10. AJo

Makes almost complete sense until No. 8. Any guesses for the worst hand? The one that I have, on average, lost the most with when it has been dealt to me? Take a guess and then I'll post my worst 10 later. (And if you don't take a stab soon, you'll have to wait. Probably won't blog for a week or so over the Fourth.)

Wednesday, June 24, 2009

Cash in. Lots of cash out.

Took a break from the SNG world and played a cash game. I usually play stupid-low stakes, but I decided to buy in for $50 in the loosest 25-50 cent game I could find.

Turned $50 into $195 in about an hour. Played 60 hands and had aces two times, kings, jacks, tens and nines.

Check out this hand. No idea what the guy was thinking here:

Dealt to Hero:K♣ K♠
Preflop:
3 players fold.
Hero raises to $1.50
1 players fold.
Somedude calls [$1.50] 
Villain raises to $97.65, and is all in


Now, I don't know where you're from, but raising from $1.50 to $97.65 is not something I'm used to seeing. And anyone who knows me KNOWS I don't want to risk almost $90 on any one hand. But I have freakin' kings. So ...


1 players fold.
Hero calls [$83.40] [ all-in ] 
Villain shows : Q♥ Q♣
Hero shows : K♣ K♠
Flop: 2♦ A♣ J♥
Turn: 8♥
River: 5♦ Villain shows a pair of Queens 
Hero shows a pair of Kings 
Hero wins the pot ($168.80) with a pair of Kings

Tuesday, June 23, 2009

Bad Beat Week

The week of bad beats continues:

Tonight: 45-player SNG, $11, pays six. With eight left, I raise under the gun with kings. Big blind calls. Flop comes queen high. BB bets, I shove, he calls and rolls over Q9. Turn is 9. I'm out two spots short of the money (and would have been third in chips).

Last night: 45-player SNG, $11, pays six. Went out shortstacked shoving from button with A4 (BB had AQ). But lost a huge pot when I got all in with QQ vs. AQ. Rivered with an ace.

A few nights earlier: Put $10 into a mini-stakes cash game. Got it all in on the flop with KK vs. 74 (yes, 74 ... and I didn't slow play) after the guy flopped a four. Turn is harmless. River is a 4. Pot was $31.

There have been more, but I can't find all the hand histories. It all started in that tournament where I finished fifth of 313 after getting it in on the turn against the chip leader as an 87-13 favorite and then getting rivered.

The poker gods hate me. But they always seem to change their minds eventually.