Sometimes you make the right decision and just get the wrong outcome.
In this hand, I had T♥ K♥ in the big blind and checked to see a flop four ways. Blinds were 60-120, so there was 480 in the pot and I had about 1,500.
Flop:
7♥ 2♥ 3♣
SB checks
Hero bets [120]
I bet 120 as a blocking bet, hoping players would call and not raise. If I don't bet here, someone might make a bigger bet, which would deny me odds to chase the flush. But ...
MP1 raises to 360
CO raises to 3,415, and is all in
1 players fold.
Insta-fold, right? I mean, do I want to put my tournament life at stake with this piece of trash.
The answer is yes, mainly because I'm certain that this will be a three-way pot.
These two are nuts. I put them on one crappy pair and figure I have 15 outs — nine hearts, three kings and three tens — to win. Against one player, this would be a bit of a loose — though probably mathematically correct — call.
But if I'm a favorite and I can basically triple up if I win, well, ship 'em.
Hero calls [1,260] [ all-in ]
MP1 calls [775] [ all-in ]
CO shows: 7♠ 6♠
Hero shows: 10♥ K♥
MP1 shows: 7♣ 8♥
Potsize: 6410
Turn: A♣
River: Q♣
I'm dead. Two morons are still alive. But that's OK. I made notes on both of them, and I plan on getting some chips back from them the next time we cross paths.
I ran the numbers on cardplayer.com, and I was exactly 50 percent after the flop. So I invested 1,260 more into a pot that had more than 4,000 in it. Calling off all of your chips with a draw is rarely a good idea. It was in this case.
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2 comments:
I think I would have folded. That's coming from someone who hasn't played in two months, but it feels like a fold. I would be afraid of a set or another flush draw. If one of them does have hearts, you can look at it a couple ways. First, you're less likely to get there. Second, if you do get there, you might still lose if one of them has Ahxh. In this case, you were fortunate that they both decided they wanted to get the money in very light. Furthermore, you were fortunate that they were sharing a card. It might be worth a gamble to triple up, but looking at this scenario, I think I lay it down.
I tend to agree with Hero. I think I'm going all in, for the reasons he stated, even if I assumed one of them had trip 7s. Especially with about 50/50 odds going in.
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