Friday, May 1, 2009

Feedback is nice

Wow. "From 50 bucks to 50K" is now the most popular blog at this Web address. Sweet.

A couple people are actually posting comments, which is really cool. I'll do my best to respond to some of them soon. Some back-and-forth would certainly make this more interesting.

While we're here, my past week or so summarized:

Lost $90 in a rare live cash game, then won $116 in the same game seven days later.

Had my first cash in a $26 SNG, which also is my biggest cash online by a dollar or so. Third place brought in $172.80, if I remember right. Actually had a monster stack four-handed before my trip sevens ran into a straight for about two-thirds of my stack.

Still struggled online. Can't seem to get on a roll at all.

Current bankroll: $1,348

OPR ranking: 97.76

Monday, April 27, 2009

Going broke … and OK with it

Sometimes you make the right decision and just get the wrong outcome.

In this hand, I had T♥ K♥ in the big blind and checked to see a flop four ways. Blinds were 60-120, so there was 480 in the pot and I had about 1,500.

Flop:
7♥ 2♥ 3♣
SB checks
Hero bets [120]

I bet 120 as a blocking bet, hoping players would call and not raise. If I don't bet here, someone might make a bigger bet, which would deny me odds to chase the flush. But ...

MP1 raises to 360
CO raises to 3,415, and is all in
1 players fold.

Insta-fold, right? I mean, do I want to put my tournament life at stake with this piece of trash.

The answer is yes, mainly because I'm certain that this will be a three-way pot.

These two are nuts. I put them on one crappy pair and figure I have 15 outs — nine hearts, three kings and three tens — to win. Against one player, this would be a bit of a loose — though probably mathematically correct — call.

But if I'm a favorite and I can basically triple up if I win, well, ship 'em.

Hero calls [1,260] [ all-in ]
MP1 calls [775] [ all-in ]
CO shows: 7♠ 6♠
Hero shows: 10♥ K♥
MP1 shows: 7♣ 8♥

Potsize: 6410

Turn: A♣
River: Q♣

I'm dead. Two morons are still alive. But that's OK. I made notes on both of them, and I plan on getting some chips back from them the next time we cross paths.

I ran the numbers on cardplayer.com, and I was exactly 50 percent after the flop. So I invested 1,260 more into a pot that had more than 4,000 in it. Calling off all of your chips with a draw is rarely a good idea. It was in this case.

Sunday, April 26, 2009

What are the odds?

It's been a long, bad week. Suckouts galore. But nothing more annoying than the following hand.

I was getting close to cashing in a 180-player, $8 tournament when the under-the gun player limped in. I've played with this guy plenty. Plays trash hands. Bets the pot or more when he misses, checks big hands. He is the most transparent player I've ever run into.

I see a flop with him with Q-7 offsuit, and the flop comes Q-Q-T. I check expecting him to make a pot-sized bet, which would basically put me all-in. He checks. Odd.

The turn is a 7, giving me a full house. I check again. He checks again. Really odd.

The river puts four clubs on the board. I shove all-in, assuming he'll either call me because it looks like a massive bluff or he'll call me if he has any — and I mean any — club. He insta-calls and rolls over Q-T for a bigger full house.

I think I need a week off.